Economics Uncovered

Economics Uncovered

February CPI preview: expecting additional YoY deceleration, but the MoM number risks further unnerving markets

Steven Anastasiou's avatar
Steven Anastasiou
Mar 14, 2023
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While bank failures continue to garner the lion’s share of headlines, the next US CPI report is around the corner.

For the seventh straight month, I expect the headline CPI to record further deceleration in its YoY growth rate, falling to 6.0% (from 6.4% in January). This is in-line with the consensus forecast, which is also at 6.0%.

Moving to the core CP…

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