Economics Uncovered

Economics Uncovered

November's US CPI data reveals deepening disinflation: initial thoughts

From falling new car prices to services prices, the latest CPI data provides further confirmation that disinflation is spreading, and deepening.

Steven Anastasiou's avatar
Steven Anastasiou
Dec 13, 2023
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November CPI aggregates vs my forecasts 🔍

For the month of November, my headline US CPI forecast of 3.14% was equal to the actual result, and down from 3.35% in October.

Meanwhile, core CPI growth came in below my estimate for a second consecutive month, managing to eke out an eighth consecutive month of disinflation on a two decimal place basis.

Used car…

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